Wednesday, July 7, 2010

forex in july :- forex and EUR

The common European currency slightly advanced at the last session due to the support from the ECB tender of three-month crediting. The demand for the liquidities turned out to be worse than forecasted as the Banks were interested in 133.933 Billion only, while the analysts expected the loans in amount of about 250 Billion of euro. The assets’ capacity wasn’t limited. Actually, the Bank could get the necessary amount at interest of 1.0%. That’s why the result of the kind was considered as a justification of the absence of problems of assets’ deficiency at the Euro zone financial institutions. That also meant the latter were able to fulfill their obligations without any supplemental assistance. Of course, it became a good reason for optimism, so the Euro occurred in the forefront of purchasing increase amidst the upturn of the European stick indexes. However, the common fears about the economic increase together with the data from the USA, in particular the ADP report, and finally, still acute debts troubles of the Euro zone countries suppressed the common currency, which lost some part of recently got positions and kept a little gain to the US Dollar only. The publication of the Euro zone’s economic statistics made no influence, because the result was quite predictable: the number of the German jobless decreased for 21 thousand, despite the forecasts of -23 thousand, so the unemployment rate kept the previous mark of 7.7%. The consumer inflation fell down a little all over the Euro zone as the consumer price index occurred at 1.4% after 1.6% in May. The today news is going to represent the ISM data on the manufacturing of the Euro zone in general, Germany and some other leading countries of the block. The June PMI is foreseen remained at the value of the advanced estimation in Germany, France and in the Euro zone in general, while the Italian one is predicted sagging. Besides, the data on the retail sales in Germany will also arouse interest due to the probability of the essential increase: 0.5% m/m and -0.6% y/y thereupon -0.5% m/m and -3.1% y/y before. Also possible, the Euro would get a support by reason of this publication, but for a short while only, as it seems, because the anticipation of the data from the USA has already begun to make their impact on the market and will have kept tension till tomorrow.

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