Wednesday, July 7, 2010

Forex Market :- forex history

  Historically the value of goods was expressed through some other goods, for example - a barter economy where individuals exchange goods. The obvious disadvantages of such a system encouraged establishment of more generally accepted and understanded means of goods exchange long time ago in history - to set a common scale of value. In different places everything from teeth to jewelry has served this purpose but later metals, and especially gold and silver, were introduced as an accepted means of payment, and also a reliable form of value storage.

   Originally, coins were basically minted from the metal, but stable political systems introduced a paper form of IOUs (I owe you) which gained wide acceptance during the Middle Ages. Such paper IOUs became the basis of our modern currencies.

   Before First World War most central banks supported currencies with gold. Even though banknotes always could be exchanged for gold, in reality this did not happen that often, developing an understanding that full reserves are not really needed.

   Sometimes huge supply of banknotes without gold support led to giant inflation and hence political instability. To protect national interests foreign exchange controls were introduced to demand more responsibility from market players.

   Closer to the end of World War II, the Bretton Woods agreement was signed as the initiative of the USA in July 1944. The Bretton Woods Conference rejected John Maynard Keynes suggestion for a new world reserve currency in favour of a system built on the US dollar. Other international institutions such as the IMF, the World Bank and GATT (General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade) were created in the same period as the emerging victors of WW2 searched for a way to avoid the destabilising monetary crises which led to the war. The Bretton Woods agreement resulted in a system of fixed exchange rates that partly reinstated the gold standard, fixing the US dollar at USD35/oz and fixing the other main currencies to the dollar - and was intended to be permanent.

   The Bretton Woods system came under increasing pressure as national economies moved in different directions during the sixties. A number of realignments kept the system alive for a long time, but eventually Bretton Woods collapsed in the early seventies following president Nixon's suspension of the gold convertibility in August 1971. The dollar was no longer suitable as the sole international currency at a time when it was under severe pressure from increasing US budget and trade deficits.

   The following decades have seen foreign exchange trading develop into the largest global market by far. Restrictions on capital flows have been removed in most countries, leaving the market forces free to adjust foreign exchange rates according to their perceived values.

   But the idea of fixed exchange rates has by no means died. The EEC (European Economic Community) introduced a new system of fixed exchange rates in 1979, the European Monetary System. This attempt to fix exchange rates met with near extinction in 1992-93, when pent-up economic pressures forced devaluations of a number of weak European currencies. Nevertheless, the quest for currency stability has continued in Europe with the renewed attempt to not only fix currencies but actually replace many of them with the Euro in 2001.

   The lack of sustainability in fixed foreign exchange rates gained new relevance with the events in South East Asia in the latter part of 1997, where currency after currency was devalued against the US dollar, leaving other fixed exchange rates, in particular in South America, looking very vulnerable.

   But while commercial companies have had to face a much more volatile currency environment in recent years, investors and financial institutions have found a new playground. The size of foreign exchange markets now dwarfs any other investment market by a large factor. It is estimated that more than USD 3,000 billion is traded every day, far more than the world's stock and bond markets combined.

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